Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Rapid Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Lask Linz (2,115) and Rapid Vienna (2,026).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lask Linz have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Rapid Vienna have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ried(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kalsdorf(away) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 8-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paide(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ried(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Paide(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lask Linz win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rapid Vienna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Lask Linz 3-1 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 4-2 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Lask Linz 3-0 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Rapid Vienna 0-2 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Rapid Vienna 3-0 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| May 29, 2025 | Lask Linz 3-1 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lask Linz score 2.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rapid Vienna score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lask Linz | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Rapid Vienna | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lask Linz sit 2nd in Bundesliga (9 points from 3 matches) and Rapid Vienna sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna?
- The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Rapid Vienna.
- Where and when is Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna played?
- Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Raiffeisen Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.