Turkey U17 vs San Marino U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Arslan Zeki Demirci Spor Kompleksi Stadyumu, Side
The Footlab model makes Turkey U17 the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for San Marino U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Turkey U17 vs San Marino U17?
Turkey U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,541 Elo points against 1,209 — a 332-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Turkey U17 have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; San Marino U17 have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Spain U17(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Northern Ireland U17(home) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Scotland U17(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Jan 22, 2026 | North Macedonia U17(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 20, 2026 | North Macedonia U17(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Andorra U17(away) | 1-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Wales U17(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Georgia U17(home) | 1-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Bulgaria U17(home) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Slovakia U17(away) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Turkey U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 San Marino U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | Turkey U17 5-1 San Marino U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Turkey U17 vs San Marino U17 on Oct 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Turkey U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Marino U17 score 0.2 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey U17 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| San Marino U17 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 1 | 2/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Turkey U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and San Marino U17 sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Turkey U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | San Marino U17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Turkey U17 vs San Marino U17?
- The Footlab model makes Turkey U17 the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for San Marino U17.
- Where and when is Turkey U17 vs San Marino U17 played?
- Turkey U17 vs San Marino U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Arslan Zeki Demirci Spor Kompleksi Stadyumu, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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