Türkiye vs Italy: result 1-4 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 2Kick-off on September 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Yüzüncü Yıl Atatürk Sütaş Stadyumu, Bursa
Full time
What was the result of Türkiye vs Italy?
Italy won 1-4 on September 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 9′A. BastoniItaly
- 22′D. FrattesiItaly
- 27′M. KayodeItaly
- 47′B. YılmazTürkiye
- 50′F. EspositoItaly
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Türkiye win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-4.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Türkiye vs Italy
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Türkiye
3-4-3- 11C. Uzun
- 21B. Yılmaz
- 10A. Güler
- 13E. Elmalı
- 5S. Özcan
- 6O. Kökçü
- 18O. Aydın
- 15O. Kabak
- 3M. Demiral
- 2Z. Çelik
- 1A. Bayındır
Italy
4-3-3- 23S. Esposito
- 7F. Esposito
- 10G. Raspadori
- 6N. Fagioli
- 8S. Tonali
- 16D. Frattesi
- 3M. Ruggeri
- 21A. Bastoni
- 19G. Scalvini
- 2M. Kayode
- 1G. Donnarumma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Türkiye have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Italy have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | France(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 26, 2026 | USA(home) | 3-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Paraguay(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Australia(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Venezuela(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Belgium(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Greece(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Luxembourg(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Northern Ireland(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Türkiye wins, 1 draw, 2 Italy wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2024 | Italy 0-0 Türkiye | Friendlies |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Türkiye 2-3 Italy | Friendlies |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Türkiye 0-3 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Türkiye score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 2.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Italy | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Türkiye sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (0 points from 4 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
A question about Türkiye vs Italy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy