Spain vs Croatia: result 4-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 2Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Full time
What was the result of Spain vs Croatia?
Spain won 4-1 on September 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 2′Lamine YamalSpain
- 28′D. BeljoCroatia
- 31′Marc PubillSpain
- 63′Lamine YamalSpain
- 89′Nico WilliamsSpain
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Spain win at 81%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Spain vs Croatia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Spain
4-3-3- 15Álex Baena
- 21Mikel Oyarzabal
- 19Lamine Yamal
- 8Fabián Ruiz
- 18Martín Zubimendi
- 9Fermín
- 22Marc Cucurella
- 2D. Huijsen
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 12Marc Pubill
- 23Unai Simón
Croatia
4-2-3-1- 20D. Beljo
- 14I. Perišić
- 17P. Sučić
- 19Marco Pasalic
- 8M. Kovačić
- 22J. Mišić
- 4J. Gvardiol
- 3M. Pongračić
- 6J. Šutalo
- 2I. Smolčić
- 1D. Livaković
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Croatia have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | England(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Argentina(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jul 14, 2026 | France(away) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Belgium(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Czechia(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ghana(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Panama(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | England(away) | 2-4 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spain wins, 1 draw, 2 Croatia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Spain 3-0 Croatia | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Croatia 0-0 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 28, 2021 | Croatia 3-5 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Croatia 3-2 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Spain 6-0 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Croatia 2-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Croatia | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spain sit 1st in UEFA Nations League (12 points from 4 matches) and Croatia sit 3rd (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Spain vs Croatia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy