TuS BW Königsdorf vs Fortuna Köln II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Königsdorf, Frechen
The Footlab model makes TuS BW Königsdorf the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Fortuna Köln II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS BW Königsdorf vs Fortuna Köln II?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate TuS BW Königsdorf (1,788) and Fortuna Köln II (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS BW Königsdorf have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Köln II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | SF Düren(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 TuS BW Königsdorf win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fortuna Köln II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf 3-2 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Fortuna Köln II 5-0 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TuS BW Königsdorf 0-0 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Fortuna Köln II 1-2 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 14, 2024 | TuS BW Königsdorf 2-1 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Fortuna Köln II 1-1 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: TuS BW Königsdorf vs Fortuna Köln II on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TuS BW Königsdorf score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln II score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS BW Königsdorf | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Köln II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuS BW Königsdorf sit 9th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (46 points from 30 matches) and Fortuna Köln II sit 10th (45 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 54 | 46 |
| 10 | Fortuna Köln II | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 47 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS BW Königsdorf vs Fortuna Köln II?
- The Footlab model makes TuS BW Königsdorf the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Fortuna Köln II.
- Where and when is TuS BW Königsdorf vs Fortuna Köln II played?
- TuS BW Königsdorf vs Fortuna Köln II is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Königsdorf, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.