AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Twente. The most likely score is 1-1. If AZ Alkmaar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate AZ Alkmaar (2,132) and Twente (2,095).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1- 9M. Meerdink
- 6P. Koopmeiners
- 11R. Daal
- 24A. Oufkir
- 14C. Stengs
- 21D. Kwakman
- 3W. Goes
- 4L. Schouten
- 22E. Dijkstra
- 5M. Chávez
- 28J. De Busser
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 11D. Rots
- 27S. Ørjasæter
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 16J. Drommel
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Twente have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AZ Alkmaar wins, 1 draw, 1 Twente win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Feb 3, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Twente | KNVB Beker |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Twente 1-0 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| May 25, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 3-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| May 14, 2025 | Twente 2-3 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Dec 21, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Twente | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Alkmaar score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Twente score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Twente | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Alkmaar sit 2nd in Eredivisie (19 points from 8 matches) and Twente sit 4th (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
A question about AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
- The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Twente.
- Where and when is AZ Alkmaar vs Twente played?
- AZ Alkmaar vs Twente is played on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.