Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (2,101 vs 1,882).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 7M. Pjaca
- 11D. Rots
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 1L. Unnerstall
Sparta Rotterdam
4-1-4-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 6N. Verschuren
- 11I. Babadi
- 8J. Toornstra
- 16J. Baas
- 17C. Terho
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Twente wins, 2 draws, 0 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Twente 4-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-5 Twente | Eredivisie |
| May 4, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Twente 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Twente 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 4th in Eredivisie (17 points from 8 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 14th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.