Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Fortuna Sittard (1,867) and Sparta Rotterdam (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortuna Sittard win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Sparta Rotterdam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 8th in Eredivisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.