Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Rotterdam wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Fortuna Sittard (1,991) and Sparta Rotterdam (1,963).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Sittard
5-4-1- 25L. Zeefuik
- 23P. Brittijn
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 9A. Descotte
- 52M. Ihattaren
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 6S. van Ottele
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 8J. Dahlhaus
- 31M. Branderhorst
Sparta Rotterdam
5-4-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 11I. Babadi
- 10J. Toornstra
- 7M. van Bergen
- 18Robin van Cruijsen
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 6N. Verschuren
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortuna Sittard wins, 4 draws, 2 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 Fortuna Sittard | KNVB Beker |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard on Oct 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 6th in Eredivisie (19 points from 11 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 11th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 19 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 26 | 12 |
A question about Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.