Willem II vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
The Footlab model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Willem II vs ADO Den Haag?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Willem II (1,806) and ADO Den Haag (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Willem II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFI(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Willem II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 ADO Den Haag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Willem II 0-1 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2025 | ADO Den Haag 5-1 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Willem II 2-1 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 8, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 17, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 1-3 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Willem II 1-0 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs ADO Den Haag on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Willem II score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Willem II sit 16th in Eredivisie (0 points from 2 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Willem II vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Willem II vs ADO Den Haag played?
- Willem II vs ADO Den Haag is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Koning Willem II Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.