Willem II vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieMatchday 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
The Footlab AI model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1. If ADO Den Haag wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,620 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Willem II vs ADO Den Haag?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Willem II (1,829) and ADO Den Haag (1,922).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Willem II vs ADO Den Haag
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 32V. van Crooij
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 18Anass Zarrouk
- 52T. Vilhena
- 5H. ter Avest
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
ADO Den Haag
4-2-3-1- 27N. Thomas
- 25J. Kilo
- 11E. Rottier
- 17J. Hawkins
- 14M. Jiménez
- 33M. Šín
- 3P. Mulder
- 4M. Waem
- 15M. Hokke
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 1K. Nikiéma
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Willem II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 1-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Willem II wins, 1 draw, 2 ADO Den Haag wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Willem II 0-1 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2025 | ADO Den Haag 5-1 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Willem II 2-1 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 8, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 17, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 1-3 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Willem II 1-0 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs ADO Den Haag on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Willem II sit 18th in Eredivisie (3 points from 12 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 17th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 3 |
A question about Willem II vs ADO Den Haag?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Willem II vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab AI model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Willem II vs ADO Den Haag played?
- Willem II vs ADO Den Haag is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Koning Willem II Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.