Twente vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Willem II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs Willem II?
Twente is a heavy favourite: 2,081 Elo points against 1,772, a 309-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Twente vs Willem II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 11D. Rots
- 27S. Ørjasæter
- 10Y. Taha
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 16J. Drommel
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 7J. Slory
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 52T. Vilhena
- 32V. van Crooij
- 6C. Twigt
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 5H. ter Avest
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Willem II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Twente wins, 2 draws, 0 Willem II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | Twente 6-2 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Willem II 0-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Willem II 0-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Twente 1-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Twente 1-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Willem II 0-3 Twente | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 5th in Eredivisie (17 points from 9 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (2 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 2 |
A question about Twente vs Willem II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs Willem II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Twente vs Willem II played?
- Twente vs Willem II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.