Feyenoord vs Excelsior: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Excelsior. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Feyenoord starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,143 vs 1,919).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Feyenoord vs Excelsior
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Feyenoord
4-3-3- 10L. Valente
- 23A. Hadj-Moussa
- 19Nacho Ferri
- 8G. Zechiël
- 34C. Vanhoutte
- 28O. Targhalline
- 35Mika Màrmol
- 26G. Read
- 6J. St. Juste
- 4T. Watanabe
- 1T. Ernst
Excelsior
4-3-3- 19D. Garden
- 30Á. Þorsteinsson
- 7A. Sliti
- 3R. Meissen
- 20L. Hartjes
- 8I. Yegoian
- 14J. Plug
- 4C. Widell
- 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
- 15S. Janssen
- 1S. van Gassel
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Feyenoord have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Excelsior have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 5-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 7-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Feyenoord wins, 0 draws, 0 Excelsior wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Feyenoord 2-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Excelsior 1-2 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| May 19, 2024 | Feyenoord 4-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Excelsior 2-4 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| May 7, 2023 | Excelsior 0-2 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Feyenoord 5-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Feyenoord vs Excelsior on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Feyenoord score 3.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 3.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Excelsior | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Feyenoord sit 1st in Eredivisie (20 points from 8 matches) and Excelsior sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
- The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Excelsior.
- Where and when is Feyenoord vs Excelsior played?
- Feyenoord vs Excelsior is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Feijenoord, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.