Groningen vs Heerenveen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Euroborg, Groningen
The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Heerenveen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Groningen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Groningen (1,937) and Heerenveen (1,979).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groningen vs Heerenveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 33H. Hateboer
- 1E. Vaessen
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 20J. Trenskow
- 7M. Rivera
- 8N. Courtens
- 14L. Smans
- 16M. Linday
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 3M. Willemsen
- 45O. Braude
- 1B. Klaverboer
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groningen have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Heerenveen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Groningen wins, 0 draws, 3 Heerenveen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Heerenveen 0-2 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Groningen 2-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Groningen 1-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Heerenveen 2-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Groningen 0-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Heerenveen 3-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Heerenveen vs Groningen on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groningen sit 7th in Eredivisie (14 points from 9 matches) and Heerenveen sit 8th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groningen vs Heerenveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Heerenveen.
- Where and when is Groningen vs Heerenveen played?
- Groningen vs Heerenveen is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Euroborg, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.