Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Ajax the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
Ajax starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (2,104 vs 1,850).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ajax vs ADO Den Haag
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ajax
4-3-3- 10O. Gloukh
- 38Marcos Leonardo
- 99T. Arokodare
- 8J. Brandt
- 24J. Mokio
- 4S. Amrabat
- 2Lucas Rosa
- 5O. Wijndal
- 30A. Bouwman
- 15Y. Baas
- 1M. ter Stegen
ADO Den Haag
5-3-2- 46Y. Eduardo
- 9J. Bal
- 25J. Kilo
- 11E. Rottier
- 17J. Hawkins
- 3P. Mulder
- 4M. Waem
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 15M. Hokke
- 18S. Sylla
- 1K. Nikiéma
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 5-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Ajax wins, 0 draws, 0 ADO Den Haag wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | Ajax 5-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Dec 20, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 2-4 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 22, 2019 | Ajax 6-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Oct 6, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Feb 24, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 1-5 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 2, 2018 | Ajax 5-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 3.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 4th in Eredivisie (18 points from 9 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 17th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 18 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ajax the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is Ajax vs ADO Den Haag played?
- Ajax vs ADO Den Haag is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Johan Cruijff Arena, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.