Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Beit Shean: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tamra
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Tzeirey Tamra (1,588) and Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tamra have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Beit Shean have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tzeirey Tamra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra 1-3 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Hapoel Beit Shean 1-4 Tzeirey Tamra | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Beit Shean on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Tzeirey Tamra.
- Where and when is Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Beit Shean played?
- Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Beit Shean is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Beitar NahariyavsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 23, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Sep 23, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Sep 23, 2026TiravsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsIroni Nesher
- Sep 23, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Sep 23, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm