Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Migdal HaEmek

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,711) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win43 %

Draw26 %

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(away)	2-0	Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026	Ironi Nesher(home)	3-0	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)	2-4	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home)	3-1	Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away)	0-0	Liga Alef

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 25, 2026	Hapoel Acre(home)	2-2	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Ironi Modi'in(home)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026	Hapoel Afula(away)	1-2	Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026	Kafr Qasim(away)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1.8	1.0	7	7/15	9/15
Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	22	8	7	7	29	23	31

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.