Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,675) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,623).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm on Jan 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th (11 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 37 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?
- Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Beitar NahariyavsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 23, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Sep 23, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Sep 23, 2026TiravsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsIroni Nesher
- Sep 23, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Beit Shean
- Sep 23, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt