Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,539).

Ironi Baka El Garbiya win62 %

Draw22 %

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Ironi Nesher(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)	0-3	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)	0-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)	4-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)	1-2	Liga Alef

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 19, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	0-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Ironi Nesher(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)	1-2	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 2, 2026	Ironi Baka El Garbiya 3-1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Jan 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ironi Baka El Garbiya	1.4	1.5	2	9/15	9/15
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	0.6	1.9	1	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	33	30	31
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	16	42	12

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?: The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?: Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.