U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes U. Catolica the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Universidad de Chile. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate U. Catolica (1,869) and Universidad de Chile (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, U. Catolica have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Universidad de Chile have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 U. Catolica win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Universidad de Chile win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Universidad de Chile 1-0 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | U. Catolica 1-0 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| May 3, 2025 | Universidad de Chile 1-0 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2024 | U. Catolica 1-2 Universidad de Chile | Primera División |
| May 18, 2024 | Universidad de Chile 1-2 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| Jan 26, 2024 | U. Catolica 1-3 Universidad de Chile | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Universidad de Chile vs U. Catolica on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
U. Catolica score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Universidad de Chile score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Catolica | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Universidad de Chile | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
U. Catolica sit 2nd in Primera División (26 points from 15 matches) and Universidad de Chile sit 3rd (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?
- The Footlab model makes U. Catolica the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Universidad de Chile.
- Where and when is U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile played?
- U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.