O'Higgins vs Nublense: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Nublense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win O'Higgins vs Nublense?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate O'Higgins (1,786) and Nublense (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, O'Higgins have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nublense have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 O'Higgins win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nublense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nublense 0-2 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| Nov 8, 2025 | O'Higgins 4-2 Nublense | Primera División |
| May 25, 2025 | Nublense 0-1 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2024 | O'Higgins 1-3 Nublense | Primera División |
| May 19, 2024 | Nublense 2-2 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| Jul 28, 2023 | O'Higgins 1-2 Nublense | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Nublense vs O'Higgins on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
O'Higgins score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nublense score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nublense | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
O'Higgins sit 10th in Primera División (20 points from 15 matches) and Nublense sit 8th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for O'Higgins vs Nublense?
- The Footlab model makes O'Higgins the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Nublense.
- Where and when is O'Higgins vs Nublense played?
- O'Higgins vs Nublense is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Teniente, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.