Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache
The Footlab model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for A. Italiano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Deportes Limache (1,748) and A. Italiano (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Limache have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; A. Italiano have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 1-3 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Deportes Limache win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 A. Italiano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | A. Italiano 2-2 Deportes Limache | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Deportes Limache 4-0 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2025 | A. Italiano 3-1 Deportes Limache | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: A. Italiano vs Deportes Limache on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Limache score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; A. Italiano score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| A. Italiano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Limache sit 9th in Primera División (21 points from 15 matches) and A. Italiano sit 13th (16 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Deportes Limache | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 21 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for A. Italiano.
- Where and when is Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano played?
- Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.