Concepción vs Palestino: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepción
The Footlab AI model makes Concepción the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Palestino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Concepción wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concepción vs Palestino?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Concepción (1,765) and Palestino (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Concepción vs Palestino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Concepción
4-2-3-1- 32J. Larrivey
- 20J. Henríquez
- 16M. Sandoval
- 30E. Espinoza
- 22M. Dávila
- 31Nicolas Fuentes
- 21N. Rodríguez
- 4A. Cáceres
- 29D. Varas
- 37F. Grillo
- 25N. Araya
Palestino
4-4-2- 9R. Fernández
- 14J. Abrigo
- 27C. Munder
- 18S. Gallegos
- 5D. Glaby
- 17M. Eggel
- 28D. Zúñiga
- 3E. Roco
- 7B. Carrasco
- 2V. Espinoza
- 25S. Pérez
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concepción have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Palestino have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 0-2 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 30, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 2-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 4-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 12, 2026 | U. Catolica(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cobresal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Concepción wins, 1 draw, 2 Palestino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Palestino 0-1 Concepción | Primera División |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Palestino 4-4 Concepción | Copa Chile |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Concepción 3-2 Palestino | Copa Chile |
| Jul 3, 2021 | Concepción 0-4 Palestino | Copa Chile |
| Jun 30, 2021 | Palestino 4-0 Concepción | Copa Chile |
Last archived meeting: Palestino vs Concepción on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Concepción score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Palestino score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concepción | 1.4 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Palestino | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Concepción sit 8th in Primera División (31 points from 23 matches) and Palestino sit 5th (36 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 36 |
| 8 | Concepción | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 31 |
A question about Concepción vs Palestino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concepción vs Palestino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Concepción the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Palestino.
- Where and when is Concepción vs Palestino played?
- Concepción vs Palestino is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.