Huachipato vs D. La Serena: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio CAP, Talcahuano
The Footlab AI model makes Huachipato the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for D. La Serena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Huachipato wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Huachipato (1,726) and D. La Serena (1,678).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Huachipato vs D. La Serena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Huachipato
4-1-3-2- 19S. Núñez
- 15M. Rodríguez
- 7M. Briceño
- 6C. Sepúlveda
- 24M. León
- 30K. Altez
- 5R. Caroca
- 8P. Vargas
- 20C. Toro
- 26H. Antiñirre
- 1S. Mella
D. La Serena
3-4-3- 10J. Vargas
- 23M. Marín
- 2G. Figueroa
- 14F. Chamorro
- 26F. Dinamarca
- 4F. Mac Allister
- 21B. Gutiérrez
- 34I. Rasso
- 33R. Delgado
- 5L. Alarcón
- 31J. Tapia
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 06:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huachipato have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; D. La Serena have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Huachipato wins, 2 draws, 1 D. La Serena win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | D. La Serena 0-0 Huachipato | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2025 | D. La Serena 0-2 Huachipato | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Huachipato 3-1 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2022 | D. La Serena 0-1 Huachipato | Primera División |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Huachipato 2-3 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2021 | D. La Serena 2-2 Huachipato | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: D. La Serena vs Huachipato on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Huachipato score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; D. La Serena score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| D. La Serena | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Huachipato sit 10th in Primera División (31 points from 23 matches) and D. La Serena sit 11th (30 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 39 | 31 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 30 |
A question about Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Huachipato the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for D. La Serena.
- Where and when is Huachipato vs D. La Serena played?
- Huachipato vs D. La Serena is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio CAP, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.