Huachipato vs D. La Serena: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio CAP, Talcahuano
The Footlab model makes Huachipato the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for D. La Serena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Huachipato (1,655) and D. La Serena (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huachipato have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; D. La Serena have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Palestino(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton de Vina(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Huachipato win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 D. La Serena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | D. La Serena 0-0 Huachipato | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2025 | D. La Serena 0-2 Huachipato | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Huachipato 3-1 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2022 | D. La Serena 0-1 Huachipato | Primera División |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Huachipato 2-3 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2021 | D. La Serena 2-2 Huachipato | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: D. La Serena vs Huachipato on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Huachipato score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; D. La Serena score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| D. La Serena | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Huachipato sit 6th in Primera División (23 points from 15 matches) and D. La Serena sit 12th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | D. La Serena | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 34 | 24 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 12 | D. La Serena | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
- The Footlab model makes Huachipato the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for D. La Serena.
- Where and when is Huachipato vs D. La Serena played?
- Huachipato vs D. La Serena is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio CAP, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.