U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 10Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, D.F.
The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Atletico San Luis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico San Luis have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 1-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 2-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 U.N.A.M. - Pumas win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atletico San Luis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atletico San Luis 0-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-1 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Atletico San Luis 2-3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Oct 20, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-0 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Atletico San Luis 3-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-2 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Atletico San Luis vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico San Luis score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico San Luis | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 4th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Atletico San Luis sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
- The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Atletico San Luis.
- Where and when is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis played?
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis is played on September 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.