Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 10Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Corona, Torreón
The Footlab model makes CF Pachuca the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Santos Laguna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca?
CF Pachuca starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos Laguna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; CF Pachuca have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | New York City FC(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leon(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santos Laguna win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 CF Pachuca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | CF Pachuca 4-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Santos Laguna 1-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Jan 21, 2025 | CF Pachuca 2-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Santos Laguna 1-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Santos Laguna 0-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2023 | CF Pachuca 3-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: CF Pachuca vs Santos Laguna on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santos Laguna score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos Laguna sit 17th in Liga MX (0 points from 3 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | CF Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca?
- The Footlab model makes CF Pachuca the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Santos Laguna.
- Where and when is Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca played?
- Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Corona, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.