UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 39Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 48%, against 34% for a draw and 18% for UAI Urquiza. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar?
Real Pilar starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,738 vs 1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UAI Urquiza have 1 wins, 9 draws and 5 defeats; Real Pilar have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 UAI Urquiza win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Pilar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Real Pilar 2-1 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 8, 2025 | UAI Urquiza 0-1 Real Pilar | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Real Pilar 2-2 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UAI Urquiza score 0.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Pilar score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAI Urquiza | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Real Pilar | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UAI Urquiza sit 19th in Primera B Metropolitana (20 points from 20 matches) and Real Pilar sit 7th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Pilar | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 51 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 32 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar?
- The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 48%, against 34% for a draw and 18% for UAI Urquiza.
- Where and when is UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar played?
- UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 10, 2026FlandriavsDefensores Unidos
- Oct 10, 2026Villa DalminevsLiniers
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- Oct 10, 2026Talleres RemediosvsDeportivo Camioneros
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsComunicaciones
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