UD Ourense vs Barakaldo: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense
Full time
What was the result of UD Ourense vs Barakaldo?
UD Ourense won 1-0 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 53′Sergi BaldrichUD Ourense
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Barakaldo win at 47%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for UD Ourense vs Barakaldo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
UD Ourense
- 10David Ferreiro
- 11Sergi Baldrich
- 17Xabi Dominguez
- 14R. Martinez
- 16Álvaro Bastida
- 19S. Pardo
- 22D. Tejon
- 3Julio Cabrera
- 4J. Labrada
- 5L. Fernandez
- 1Manuel Vizoso
Barakaldo
- 9X. Sola
- 27E. Mateos
- 8Julen Huidobro
- 14U. Collado
- 15I. Jimenez
- 21X. Fernandez
- 3Ander Zoilo
- 4O. Marotias
- 18Benat Gomez
- 22S. Calera
- 13Gaizka Campos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Ourense have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Barakaldo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mirandes(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
UD Ourense score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barakaldo score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Ourense | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Barakaldo | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD Ourense sit 19th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 10 matches) and Barakaldo sit 15th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Barakaldo | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 8 |
A question about UD Ourense vs Barakaldo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II0-1Racing Ferrol
- Oct 10, 2026Cacereño1-1Unionistas de Salamanca
- Oct 10, 2026CD Coria2-4Extremadura 1924
- Oct 10, 2026Mirandes1-1Zamora
- Oct 11, 2026Athletic Club II0-0Real Unión
- Oct 11, 2026Ponferradina0-2Real Avilés
- Oct 11, 2026Pontevedra1-2Mérida AD
- Oct 12, 2026Cultural Leonesa4-1Arenas Getxo