Ponferradina vs Real Avilés: result 0-2 and analysis
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada
Full time
What was the result of Ponferradina vs Real Avilés?
Real Avilés won 0-2 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 67′Álvaro SantamaríaReal Avilés (pen.)
- 84′J. MahicasReal Avilés
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ponferradina win at 53%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 0-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Ponferradina vs Real Avilés
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ponferradina
- 7C. Calderon
- 10Borja Valle
- 11Quicala Bari
- 6Fede San Emeterio
- 8Arturo Molina
- 15O. Vacas
- 2David Andújar
- 3Sergio Nieto
- 4A. Jelbat
- 24Koke
- 1Álex Domínguez
Real Avilés
- 14Berto Cayarga
- 5Samuel
- 7Cris Montes
- 9Álvaro Santamaría
- 10Neskes
- 17M. Prendes
- 4Markel Artetxe
- 20O. Carracedo
- 21Jon Sillero
- 23A. Lopez
- 1Álvaro Ratón
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponferradina have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Real Avilés have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ponferradina wins, 2 draws, 0 Real Avilés wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ponferradina 1-1 Real Avilés | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Ponferradina 3-1 Real Avilés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Real Avilés 0-3 Ponferradina | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2023 | Real Avilés 0-0 Ponferradina | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ponferradina vs Real Avilés on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina | 0.9 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Avilés | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ponferradina sit 10th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 9 matches) and Real Avilés sit 14th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Ponferradina vs Real Avilés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II0-1Racing Ferrol
- Oct 10, 2026Cacereño1-1Unionistas de Salamanca
- Oct 10, 2026UD Ourense1-0Barakaldo
- Oct 10, 2026CD Coria2-4Extremadura 1924
- Oct 10, 2026Mirandes1-1Zamora
- Oct 11, 2026Athletic Club II0-0Real Unión
- Oct 11, 2026Pontevedra1-2Mérida AD
- Oct 12, 2026Cultural Leonesa4-1Arenas Getxo