Match

Mirandes vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro

MirandesZamora

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mirandes vs Zamora?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,877) and Zamora (1,973).

Mirandes win35 %
Draw29 %
Zamora win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Zamora have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mirandes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026La Calzada(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Real Madrid II(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026Atlético Madrid II(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Osasuna II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Madrid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026Sabadell(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026Sabadell(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026Villarreal II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

How many goals should we expect?

Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mirandes1.31.539/159/15
Zamora1.41.166/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zamora38171011534261

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Zamora?
The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Mirandes.
Where and when is Mirandes vs Zamora played?
Mirandes vs Zamora is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mirandes and Zamora

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