Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Salamanca II played?

UD Santa Marta vs Salamanca II is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

UD Santa Marta vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, Santa Marta de Tormes

UD Santa Marta

Salamanca II

The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Santa Marta vs Salamanca II?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate UD Santa Marta (1,807) and Salamanca II (1,773).

UD Santa Marta win55 %

Draw25 %

Salamanca II win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Santa Marta have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Santa Marta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 16, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Salamanca II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2023	Real Ávila(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023	Unami(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023	Ponferradina II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023	Arandina(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UD Santa Marta win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Salamanca II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 29, 2023	Salamanca II 2-1 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 24, 2022	UD Santa Marta 1-1 Salamanca II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 8, 2022	Salamanca II 1-1 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 5, 2021	UD Santa Marta 2-1 Salamanca II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 20, 2021	Salamanca II 1-1 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 13, 2021	UD Santa Marta 0-1 Salamanca II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Salamanca II vs UD Santa Marta on Jan 29, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

UD Santa Marta score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
UD Santa Marta	1.5	1.3	2	11/15	8/15
Salamanca II	1.3	0.7	7	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	UD Santa Marta	34	18	8	8	53	31	62

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Santa Marta vs Salamanca II?: The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Salamanca II.
Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Salamanca II played?: UD Santa Marta vs Salamanca II is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.