Calasanz de Soria vs UD Santa Marta: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for UD Santa Marta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calasanz de Soria vs UD Santa Marta?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Calasanz de Soria have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; UD Santa Marta have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 16, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UD Santa Marta | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 31 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calasanz de Soria vs UD Santa Marta?
- The Footlab model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for UD Santa Marta.
- Where and when is Calasanz de Soria vs UD Santa Marta played?
- Calasanz de Soria vs UD Santa Marta is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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