Match

Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Los Barreros, Villaralbo

VillaralboAtlético Mansillés

The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Villaralbo (1,729) and Atlético Mansillés (1,785).

Villaralbo win39 %
Draw32 %
Atlético Mansillés win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villaralbo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villaralbo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Guijuelo(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Atlético Mansillés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Mojados(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Almazán(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026Almazán(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Palencia CF(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Villaralbo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atlético Mansillés win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Villaralbo 1-0 Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 27, 2025Atlético Mansillés 1-0 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 26, 2025Villaralbo 1-0 Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 14, 2024Atlético Mansillés 0-1 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villaralbo1.11.248/156/15
Atlético Mansillés0.90.975/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villaralbo sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (42 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Mansillés sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Atlético Mansillés3415127312757
11Villaralbo3411914293742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés?
The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Mansillés.
Where and when is Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés played?
Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villaralbo and Atlético Mansillés

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