Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Los Barreros, Villaralbo
The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Villaralbo (1,729) and Atlético Mansillés (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villaralbo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Mojados(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Villaralbo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atlético Mansillés win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Villaralbo 1-0 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Atlético Mansillés 1-0 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Villaralbo 1-0 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Atlético Mansillés 0-1 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villaralbo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Mansillés | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villaralbo sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (42 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Mansillés sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atlético Mansillés | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 57 |
| 11 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 37 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés?
- The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Mansillés.
- Where and when is Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés played?
- Villaralbo vs Atlético Mansillés is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027AlmazánvsMirandés II
- Mar 14, 2027ArandinavsGuijuelo
- Mar 14, 2027Burgos PromesasvsCalasanz de Soria
- Mar 14, 2027Cultural Leonesa IIvsTurégano
- Mar 14, 2027UD Santa MartavsSalamanca II
- Mar 14, 2027Colegios DiocesanosvsBembibre
- Mar 14, 2027Palencia CFvsCristo Atlético
- Mar 14, 2027Unionistas IIvsLa Virgen del Camino