Arandina vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero
The Footlab AI model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Arandina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guijuelo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,987 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arandina vs Guijuelo?
Guijuelo starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arandina vs Guijuelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arandina
Not enough data to predict the Arandina lineup.
Guijuelo
Not enough data to predict the Guijuelo lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Guijuelo have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bembibre(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turégano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca II(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Turégano(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arandina wins, 1 draw, 5 Guijuelo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Arandina 1-2 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Guijuelo 2-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Arandina 0-1 Guijuelo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Guijuelo 1-0 Arandina | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Arandina 1-1 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Guijuelo 2-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arandina score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arandina | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Guijuelo | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arandina sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (9 points from 7 matches) and Guijuelo sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Arandina | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Guijuelo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Arandina vs Guijuelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Guijuelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Arandina.
- Where and when is Arandina vs Guijuelo played?
- Arandina vs Guijuelo is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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