Where and when is Arandina vs Guijuelo played?

Arandina vs Guijuelo is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arandina vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero

Arandina

Guijuelo

The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Arandina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arandina vs Guijuelo?

Guijuelo starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,717).

Arandina win30 %

Draw28 %

Guijuelo win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Guijuelo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arandina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Becerril Campos(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mirandés II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Bembibre(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	UD Santa Marta(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Guijuelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	Ribert(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arandina win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Guijuelo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	Arandina 1-2 Guijuelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 5, 2025	Guijuelo 2-0 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 16, 2024	Arandina 0-1 Guijuelo	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 5, 2023	Guijuelo 1-0 Arandina	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 23, 2022	Arandina 1-1 Guijuelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 19, 2021	Guijuelo 2-0 Arandina	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Guijuelo on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arandina	1.3	1.5	2	9/15	7/15
Guijuelo	1.7	1.3	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arandina sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (37 points from 34 matches) and Guijuelo sit 2nd (70 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Guijuelo	34	21	7	6	54	26	70
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	32	46	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Guijuelo?: The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Arandina.
Where and when is Arandina vs Guijuelo played?: Arandina vs Guijuelo is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.