Match

Almazán vs Mirandés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán

AlmazánMirandés II

The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Mirandés II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almazán vs Mirandés II?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Almazán (1,765) and Mirandés II (1,757).

Almazán win50 %
Draw26 %
Mirandés II win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mirandés II have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almazán
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026La Virgen del Camino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Atlético Mansillés(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026Atlético Mansillés(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mirandés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Villaralbo(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Arandina(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Bembibre(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Unionistas II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Almazán win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Mirandés II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Almazán 1-1 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 4, 2025Mirandés II 3-0 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 29, 2025Mirandés II 1-0 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 10, 2024Almazán 0-1 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 10, 2024Almazán 1-1 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 23, 2023Mirandés II 2-1 AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Almazán vs Mirandés II on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almazán1.70.947/157/15
Mirandés II1.31.5210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almazán sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (48 points from 34 matches) and Mirandés II sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Almazán34121210493848
8Mirandés II3413813433547

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Mirandés II?
The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Mirandés II.
Where and when is Almazán vs Mirandés II played?
Almazán vs Mirandés II is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Almazán and Mirandés II

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