Palencia CF vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Cristo Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palencia CF wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,192 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palencia CF vs Cristo Atlético?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Palencia CF (1,807) and Cristo Atlético (1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palencia CF vs Cristo Atlético
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palencia CF
Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.
Cristo Atlético
Not enough data to predict the Cristo Atlético lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 05:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Turégano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Palencia CF wins, 1 draw, 3 Cristo Atlético wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cristo Atlético 1-0 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 23, 2026 | Cristo Atlético 1-0 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Palencia CF 2-0 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Palencia CF 0-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Cristo Atlético 1-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Cristo Atlético 1-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs Palencia CF on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palencia CF score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cristo Atlético score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palencia CF | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Cristo Atlético | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palencia CF sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (17 points from 10 matches) and Cristo Atlético sit 2nd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cristo Atlético | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Palencia CF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
A question about Palencia CF vs Cristo Atlético?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Cristo Atlético?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Cristo Atlético.
- Where and when is Palencia CF vs Cristo Atlético played?
- Palencia CF vs Cristo Atlético is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 14, 2027Burgos PromesasvsCalasanz de Soria
- Mar 14, 2027Cultural Leonesa IIvsTurégano
- Mar 14, 2027UD Santa MartavsSalamanca II
- Mar 14, 2027Colegios DiocesanosvsBembibre
- Mar 14, 2027VillaralbovsAtlético Mansillés
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