Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice

Unia Skierniewice

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Unia Skierniewice (1,898) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (1,831).

Unia Skierniewice win49 %

Draw25 %

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Skierniewice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-3	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(home)	2-2	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-3	I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	1-0	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Unia Skierniewice win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 4, 2026	Unia Skierniewice 0-1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 24, 2026	Unia Skierniewice 2-0 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 1, 2025	Unia Skierniewice 2-3 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 8, 2024	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 3-0 Unia Skierniewice	III Liga - Group 1
Nov 18, 2023	Unia Skierniewice 2-7 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1
Apr 15, 2023	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 4-0 Unia Skierniewice	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Jul 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Skierniewice	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	11/15
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1.1	1.2	6	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Skierniewice sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	5	3	2	0	8	3	11
11	Unia Skierniewice	5	2	0	3	5	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki played?: Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.