Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce played?

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów

Chrobry Głogów

Pogoń Siedlce

The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,853) and Pogoń Siedlce (1,757).

Chrobry Głogów win56 %

Draw26 %

Pogoń Siedlce win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chrobry Głogów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 3, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	0-1	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	5-1	I Liga

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Chrobry Głogów	I Liga
Sep 12, 2025	Chrobry Głogów 2-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Dec 1, 2024	Chrobry Głogów 1-0 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Jul 20, 2024	Pogoń Siedlce 1-2 Chrobry Głogów	I Liga
Oct 20, 2022	Pogoń Siedlce 3-1 Chrobry Głogów	Cup

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Chrobry Głogów on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chrobry Głogów	1.5	1.6	0	12/15	10/15
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Chrobry Głogów	5	2	1	2	8	5	7
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce?: The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce played?: Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.