Match

Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Ruch ChorzówPodbeskidzie

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Podbeskidzie (1,952).

Ruch Chorzów win32 %
Draw26 %
Podbeskidzie win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ruch Chorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-2I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Nieciecza(away)0-2I Liga
Podbeskidzie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Opole(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-0Cup
Aug 2, 2026Stal Mielec(away)3-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Podbeskidzie win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2023Ruch Chorzów 2-2 PodbeskidzieI Liga
Sep 4, 2022Podbeskidzie 0-1 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
Jul 2, 2022Podbeskidzie 1-0 Ruch ChorzówFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie on Apr 6, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ruch Chorzów1.21.256/155/15
Podbeskidzie1.81.1312/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Ruch Chorzów5212357
13Podbeskidzie5050885

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie?
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ruch Chorzów.
Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie played?
Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ruch Chorzów and Podbeskidzie

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