Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Podbeskidzie (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Podbeskidzie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | Ruch Chorzów 2-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Podbeskidzie 0-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Podbeskidzie 1-0 Ruch Chorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie on Apr 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ruch Chorzów.
- Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie played?
- Ruch Chorzów vs Podbeskidzie is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Lechia GdanskvsMiedz Legnica
- Sep 12, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsPogoń Siedlce
- Sep 12, 2026Odra OpolevsStal Rzeszów
- Sep 12, 2026Puszcza NiepołomicevsŁKS Łódź
- Sep 12, 2026Stal MielecvsNieciecza
- Sep 12, 2026Warta PoznańvsArka Gdynia
- Sep 12, 2026Unia SkierniewicevsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Sep 12, 2026Polonia WarszawavsPolonia Bytom