Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica played?

Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Lechia Gdansk

Miedz Legnica

The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Lechia Gdansk (1,850) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).

Lechia Gdansk win36 %

Draw26 %

Miedz Legnica win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lechia Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Podbeskidzie(away)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	0-3	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-3	I Liga

Miedz Legnica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	2-0	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lechia Gdansk win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Miedz Legnica win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 26, 2024	Miedz Legnica 4-1 Lechia Gdansk	I Liga
Dec 3, 2023	Lechia Gdansk 2-0 Miedz Legnica	I Liga
Mar 10, 2023	Lechia Gdansk 4-0 Miedz Legnica	Ekstraklasa
Aug 27, 2022	Miedz Legnica 2-1 Lechia Gdansk	Ekstraklasa
Dec 17, 2018	Miedz Legnica 0-0 Lechia Gdansk	Ekstraklasa
Aug 10, 2018	Lechia Gdansk 2-0 Miedz Legnica	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Lechia Gdansk on May 26, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lechia Gdansk	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	11/15
Miedz Legnica	1.3	1.1	6	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lechia Gdansk sit 16th in I Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Miedz Legnica	5	3	1	1	8	2	10
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	1	3	3	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica?: The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica played?: Lechia Gdansk vs Miedz Legnica is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.