União de Leiria vs Torreense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaMatchday 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
The Footlab AI model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Torreense. The most likely score is 1-1. If União de Leiria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Torreense?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate União de Leiria (2,032) and Torreense (2,025).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for União de Leiria vs Torreense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
União de Leiria
4-4-2- 21Jaime
- 9Juan Muñoz
- 98Ibrahima
- 17Pablo Fernández
- 6E. Kouassi
- 88Diogo Martins
- 68Maga
- 44Marcelo
- 16Zé Pedro
- 3Marc Baró
- 99J. Odehnal
Torreense
4-2-3-1- 11Manu Pozo
- 8Alejandro Alfaro
- 7D. Jean
- 5M. Diadie
- 6A. Oudrhiri
- 26André Simões
- 4Volnei Feltes
- 23Javi Vázquez
- 22David Bruno
- 45J. Mutombo
- 31Adriel
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 09:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, União de Leiria have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Torreense have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AVS(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bragança(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Academica(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 União de Leiria wins, 0 draws, 4 Torreense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Torreense 2-3 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Torreense 3-1 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Torreense 3-1 União de Leiria | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 29, 2025 | União de Leiria 1-0 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | União de Leiria 1-3 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Torreense 2-1 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Torreense vs União de Leiria on Nov 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
União de Leiria score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Torreense score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União de Leiria | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Torreense | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
União de Leiria sit 5th in Segunda Liga (17 points from 10 matches) and Torreense sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | União de Leiria | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 13 | Torreense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
A question about União de Leiria vs Torreense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for União de Leiria vs Torreense?
- The Footlab AI model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Torreense.
- Where and when is União de Leiria vs Torreense played?
- União de Leiria vs Torreense is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.