Match

União de Leiria vs Torreense: prediction and stats

Segunda LigaMatchday 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria

União de LeiriaTorreense

The Footlab AI model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Torreense. The most likely score is 1-1. If União de Leiria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,076 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win União de Leiria vs Torreense?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate União de Leiria (2,032) and Torreense (2,025).

47%27%26%
União de Leiria winDrawTorreense win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for União de Leiria vs Torreense

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

União de Leiria

4-4-2
  1. 21Jaime
  2. 9Juan Muñoz
  1. 98Ibrahima
  2. 17Pablo Fernández
  3. 6E. Kouassi
  4. 88Diogo Martins
  1. 68Maga
  2. 44Marcelo
  3. 16Zé Pedro
  4. 3Marc Baró
  1. 99J. Odehnal

Torreense

4-2-3-1
  1. 11Manu Pozo
  1. 8Alejandro Alfaro
  2. 7D. Jean
  3. 5M. Diadie
  4. 6A. Oudrhiri
  5. 26André Simões
  1. 4Volnei Feltes
  2. 23Javi Vázquez
  3. 22David Bruno
  4. 45J. Mutombo
  1. 31Adriel

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 09:08 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, União de Leiria have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Torreense have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

União de Leiria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Torreense(away)3-2Segunda Liga
Oct 31, 2026AVS(home)2-1Segunda Liga
Oct 25, 2026FC Porto B(away)1-1Segunda Liga
Oct 17, 2026Bragança(home)2-1Taça de Portugal
Oct 11, 2026Academica(home)0-2Segunda Liga
Torreense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026União de Leiria(home)2-3Segunda Liga
Nov 5, 2026Ararat-Armenia(home)3-2UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026Portimonense(away)0-0Segunda Liga
Oct 26, 2026Amarante(home)1-0Segunda Liga
Oct 22, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(away)1-4UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 União de Leiria wins, 0 draws, 4 Torreense wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2026Torreense 2-3 União de LeiriaSegunda Liga
Feb 8, 2026Torreense 3-1 União de LeiriaSegunda Liga
Jan 11, 2026Torreense 3-1 União de LeiriaTaça de Portugal
Aug 29, 2025União de Leiria 1-0 TorreenseSegunda Liga
Apr 6, 2025União de Leiria 1-3 TorreenseSegunda Liga
Nov 10, 2024Torreense 2-1 União de LeiriaSegunda Liga

Last archived meeting: Torreense vs União de Leiria on Nov 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

União de Leiria score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Torreense score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
União de Leiria1.71.349/158/15
Torreense1.11.548/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

União de Leiria sit 5th in Segunda Liga (17 points from 10 matches) and Torreense sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5União de Leiria10523161317
13Torreense10244101310

A question about União de Leiria vs Torreense?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for União de Leiria vs Torreense?
The Footlab AI model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Torreense.
Where and when is União de Leiria vs Torreense played?
União de Leiria vs Torreense is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, in the Segunda Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: União de Leiria and Torreense