Match

Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Cala PozueloVillanueva Pardillo

The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Cala Pozuelo (1,703) and Villanueva Pardillo (1,722).

Cala Pozuelo win37 %
Draw28 %
Villanueva Pardillo win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cala Pozuelo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Villanueva Pardillo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cala Pozuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Alcorcón II(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 4, 2025Galapagar(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025Torrejón(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 17, 2025Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 13, 2025RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Villanueva Pardillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Carabanchel(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Móstoles(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026SS Reyes II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Racing Madrid(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Las Rozas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cala Pozuelo1.41.337/156/15
Villanueva Pardillo1.31.057/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Villanueva Pardillo3413516394544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo?
The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Villanueva Pardillo.
Where and when is Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo played?
Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cala Pozuelo and Villanueva Pardillo

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