Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Cala Pozuelo (1,703) and Villanueva Pardillo (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cala Pozuelo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Villanueva Pardillo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Alcorcón II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 4, 2025 | Galapagar(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torrejón(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Carabanchel(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Racing Madrid(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cala Pozuelo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Villanueva Pardillo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Villanueva Pardillo | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 45 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo?
- The Footlab model makes Cala Pozuelo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Villanueva Pardillo.
- Where and when is Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo played?
- Cala Pozuelo vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Las RozasvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Dec 6, 2026Leganés IIvsUnión Adarve
- Dec 6, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsParla Escuela
- Dec 6, 2026Trival ValderasvsAlcobendas Sport
- Dec 6, 2026Real AranjuezvsMóstoles
- Dec 6, 2026GalapagarvsTorrejón
- Dec 6, 2026SS Reyes IIvsColonia Moscardó
- Dec 6, 2026RC AlcobendasvsFuenlabrada