Union Brescia vs Lecco: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 27Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Lecco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Brescia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Lecco?
Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,754).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Brescia vs Lecco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Brescia
3-4-2-1- 9V. Crespi
- 25A. Rizzo Pinna
- 6A. Mercati
- 8D. Balestrero
- 20M. Zennaro
- 14A. Mallamo
- 27A. Lamesta
- 28L. Silvestri
- 15T. Casasola
- 24B. Boci
- 43G. Zacchi
Lecco
4-3-3- 15Alexander Murillo
- 10A. Capello
- 30N. Fasan
- 17G. Pellegrino
- 21A. Metlika
- 6A. Mallamo
- 99Giulio Manenti
- 45M. Rizzo
- 4P. Comi
- 5M. Arena
- 22T. Vettorel
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Lecco have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 5-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Union Brescia wins, 1 draw, 0 Lecco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lecco 2-2 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Union Brescia 3-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lecco 0-1 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lecco vs Union Brescia on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Brescia score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Lecco | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Brescia sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone A (19 points from 9 matches) and Lecco sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Union Brescia vs Lecco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs Lecco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Lecco.
- Where and when is Union Brescia vs Lecco played?
- Union Brescia vs Lecco is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.