Match

Union Brescia vs Pergolettese: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia

Union BresciaPergolettese

The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Brescia vs Pergolettese?

Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,722).

70%19%11%
Union Brescia winDrawPergolettese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Brescia vs Pergolettese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Brescia

4-3-3
  1. 30J. Pellegrini
  2. 17M. Marras
  3. 7D. Di Molfetta
  1. 25A. Rizzo Pinna
  2. 14A. Mallamo
  3. 6A. Mercati
  1. 28L. Silvestri
  2. 15T. Casasola
  3. 95S. Sina
  4. 3A. Rizzo
  1. 66S. Gori

Pergolettese

4-3-3
  1. 10D. Ferrandino
  2. 49E. Zaia
  3. 7A. Pala
  1. 20M. Tremolada
  2. 70J. Antollini
  3. 4M. Arini
  1. 5T. Silvestri
  2. 73E. Bassi
  3. 76L. Roversi
  4. 15C. Dell'Orco
  1. 22F. Doldi

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Pergolettese have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Brescia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Nov 6, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Nov 1, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)4-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 28, 2026Cittadella(home)1-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Oct 24, 2026Cittadella(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Pergolettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Renate(home)2-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 30, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2026Lumezzane(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 18, 2026Ospitaletto(away)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Union Brescia win, 1 draw, 1 Pergolettese win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026Pergolettese 0-1 Union BresciaSerie C - Girone A
Feb 16, 2026Pergolettese 2-1 Union BresciaSerie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2025Union Brescia 0-0 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Pergolettese vs Union Brescia on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Brescia score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Brescia2.11.069/1510/15
Pergolettese1.01.167/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Brescia sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone A (28 points from 13 matches) and Pergolettese sit 10th (17 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Union Brescia13841261128
10Pergolettese13454141517

A question about Union Brescia vs Pergolettese?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs Pergolettese?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Pergolettese.
Where and when is Union Brescia vs Pergolettese played?
Union Brescia vs Pergolettese is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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