Unionistas de Salamanca vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Reina Sofía, Salamanca
The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unionistas de Salamanca vs Cultural Leonesa?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Unionistas de Salamanca (1,936) and Cultural Leonesa (1,837).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unionistas de Salamanca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cultural Leonesa have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unionistas de Salamanca win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cultural Leonesa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Cultural Leonesa 4-3 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Unionistas de Salamanca 1-2 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Unionistas de Salamanca 1-0 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 20, 2023 | Unionistas de Salamanca 2-0 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Cultural Leonesa vs Unionistas de Salamanca on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Unionistas de Salamanca score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unionistas de Salamanca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unionistas de Salamanca vs Cultural Leonesa?
- The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Cultural Leonesa.
- Where and when is Unionistas de Salamanca vs Cultural Leonesa played?
- Unionistas de Salamanca vs Cultural Leonesa is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Reina Sofía, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.