Real Avilés vs Lugo: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés
Full time
What was the result of Real Avilés vs Lugo?
Lugo won 1-2 on October 2, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′Álvaro SantamaríaReal Avilés
- 67′Alex CostaLugo
- 90′Alan GodoyLugo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Real Avilés win at 39%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Real Avilés vs Lugo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Real Avilés
- 8B. Abelenda
- 14Berto Cayarga
- 19N. Poquet
- 5Samuel
- 7Cris Montes
- 9Álvaro Santamaría
- 17M. Prendes
- 4Markel Artetxe
- 18Y. Rodriguez
- 20O. Carracedo
- 1Álvaro Ratón
Lugo
- 11M. Dauda
- 16A. Palma
- 17Chiqui
- 6Kevin Presa
- 15P. Parrilla
- 20A. Ulloa
- 3Pere Haro
- 4Ibaider Garriz
- 5Pol Moreno
- 19R. Lucero
- 1Marc Martínez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Lugo have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Real Avilés win, 1 draw, 1 Lugo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Real Avilés 1-2 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Lugo 0-0 Real Avilés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Real Avilés 1-0 Lugo | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Lugo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Avilés sit 13th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 7 matches) and Lugo sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Real Avilés | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Real Avilés vs Lugo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol2-0Pontevedra
- Oct 3, 2026Real Unión1-1UD Ourense
- Oct 3, 2026Barakaldo1-1Arenas Getxo
- Oct 3, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca2-0Cultural Leonesa
- Oct 4, 2026Athletic Club II1-3Extremadura 1924
- Oct 4, 2026UD Logroñés2-1Deportivo La Coruña II
- Oct 4, 2026Ponferradina1-0Mirandes
- Oct 4, 2026Zamora2-0CD Coria