Huachipato vs Concepción: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio CAP, Talcahuano
The Footlab model makes Concepción the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Huachipato. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huachipato vs Concepción?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Huachipato (1,655) and Concepción (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huachipato have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Concepción have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Palestino(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton de Vina(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cobresal(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | U. Catolica(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Huachipato win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Concepción win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | Huachipato 1-2 Concepción | Copa Chile |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Concepción 3-2 Huachipato | Copa Chile |
| May 24, 2026 | Concepción 2-0 Huachipato | Primera División |
| May 5, 2026 | Concepción 0-1 Huachipato | Copa De La Liga |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Huachipato 2-2 Concepción | Copa De La Liga |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Huachipato 2-0 Concepción | Copa Chile |
Last archived meeting: Huachipato vs Concepción on Jul 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Huachipato score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Concepción score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Concepción | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Huachipato sit 6th in Primera División (23 points from 15 matches) and Concepción sit 14th (14 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 8 | Concepción | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 24 | 27 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 14 | Concepción | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huachipato vs Concepción?
- The Footlab model makes Concepción the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Huachipato.
- Where and when is Huachipato vs Concepción played?
- Huachipato vs Concepción is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio CAP, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.