Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache
The Footlab model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for D. La Serena. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Deportes Limache (1,747) and D. La Serena (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Limache have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; D. La Serena have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 1-3 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportes Limache win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 D. La Serena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | D. La Serena 4-1 Deportes Limache | Primera División |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Deportes Limache 1-0 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2025 | D. La Serena 1-6 Deportes Limache | Copa Chile |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Deportes Limache 2-0 D. La Serena | Copa Chile |
| Jun 22, 2025 | D. La Serena 1-1 Deportes Limache | Primera División |
| Sep 8, 2024 | D. La Serena 2-0 Deportes Limache | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: D. La Serena vs Deportes Limache on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Limache score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; D. La Serena score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| D. La Serena | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Limache sit 9th in Primera División (21 points from 15 matches) and D. La Serena sit 12th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 21 |
| 10 | D. La Serena | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 34 | 24 |
| 12 | D. La Serena | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for D. La Serena.
- Where and when is Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena played?
- Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.