Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache
The Footlab AI model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for D. La Serena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Deportes Limache wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena?
On Elo ratings, Deportes Limache has 1,759 points and D. La Serena 1,678.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Deportes Limache
4-2-3-1- 9G. Sosa
- 16J. Meneses
- 27T. Galletto
- 19D. Castro
- 25M. Llantén
- 15V. Álvarez
- 2A. Aguirre
- 24A. Parot
- 11Javier Rojas
- 33D. Escobar
- 17C. González
D. La Serena
3-4-3- 10J. Vargas
- 23M. Marín
- 2G. Figueroa
- 14F. Chamorro
- 26F. Dinamarca
- 4F. Mac Allister
- 21B. Gutiérrez
- 34I. Rasso
- 33R. Delgado
- 5L. Alarcón
- 31J. Tapia
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Limache have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; D. La Serena have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Everton de Vina(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportes Limache wins, 1 draw, 2 D. La Serena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | D. La Serena 4-1 Deportes Limache | Primera División |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Deportes Limache 1-0 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2025 | D. La Serena 1-6 Deportes Limache | Copa Chile |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Deportes Limache 2-0 D. La Serena | Copa Chile |
| Jun 22, 2025 | D. La Serena 1-1 Deportes Limache | Primera División |
| Sep 8, 2024 | D. La Serena 2-0 Deportes Limache | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: D. La Serena vs Deportes Limache on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Limache score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; D. La Serena score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| D. La Serena | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Limache sit 6th in Primera División (34 points from 24 matches) and D. La Serena sit 11th (30 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 37 | 34 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 30 |
A question about Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Deportes Limache the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for D. La Serena.
- Where and when is Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena played?
- Deportes Limache vs D. La Serena is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.