Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin: prediction and stats
Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Yamanashi Gakuin. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin?
Urawa starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Yamanashi Gakuin have 2, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tokyo Int. University(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| May 25, 2025 | Veertien Mie(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| May 25, 2024 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Jun 7, 2023 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-7 | Emperor Cup |
| May 21, 2023 | Tonan Maebashi(away) | 4-3 | Emperor Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Yamanashi Gakuin score 0.8 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Yamanashi Gakuin | 0.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 5/13 | 7/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin?
- The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Yamanashi Gakuin.
- Where and when is Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin played?
- Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the Emperor Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Aug 26, 2026Yokohama FCvsCriacao Shinjuku
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- Aug 26, 2026Cerezo OsakavsFC Gifu
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- Aug 26, 2026Tokyo VerdyvsThespakusatsu Gunma
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