Match

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaYokohama F. Marinos

The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Urawa (1,932) and Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976).

Urawa win32 %
Draw27 %
Yokohama F. Marinos win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026FC Ryukyu(away)4-5Friendlies Clubs
Yokohama F. Marinos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)1-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)1-0J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Kashima(home)3-4J1 League
Jul 19, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026Tegevajaro Miyazaki(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Urawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Urawa 2-3 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
Feb 21, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 UrawaJ1 League
Oct 18, 2025Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 UrawaJ1 League
Apr 20, 2025Urawa 3-1 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
Oct 30, 2024Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 UrawaJ1 League
May 6, 2024Urawa 2-1 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa1.51.848/157/15
Yokohama F. Marinos1.91.249/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Yokohama F. Marinos3201546
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Urawa.
Where and when is Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?
Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Urawa and Yokohama F. Marinos

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