Utebo vs Sabadell: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Ana, Utebo
The Footlab AI model makes Sabadell the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Utebo. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utebo vs Sabadell?
Sabadell starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (2,033 vs 1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utebo vs Sabadell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utebo
Not enough data to predict the Utebo lineup.
Sabadell
4-4-2- 23J. Priego
- 10Ángel Baena
- 7Ton Ripoll
- 22Q. Liameed
- 20Urri
- 8Pere Pons
- 14Óscar Sanz
- 6Edgar González
- 27José Luis Català
- 4Miki Codina
- 1Diego Fuoli
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utebo have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sabadell have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Logroñés II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arnedo(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Utebo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sabadell score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utebo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Sabadell | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Utebo vs Sabadell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utebo vs Sabadell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sabadell the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Utebo.
- Where and when is Utebo vs Sabadell played?
- Utebo vs Sabadell is played on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Ana, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.