Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for FC Dallas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Vancouver Whitecaps (1,906) and FC Dallas (1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver Whitecaps have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; FC Dallas have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 4-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Austin(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Dallas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | FC Dallas 2-3 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 2, 2025 | FC Dallas 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FC Dallas 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Dallas | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (37 points from 19 matches) and FC Dallas sit 5th (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 33 |
Who is out?
11 reported absence(s) for this match.
- A. JulioFC DallasOut(Injury)
- DanielFC DallasOut(Hamstring Injury)
- Geovane JesusFC DallasOut(Knee Injury)
- P. DelgadoFC DallasDoubtful(Leg Injury)
- A. CvetkovićVancouver WhitecapsDoubtful(Inactive)
- Belal HalbouniVancouver WhitecapsOut(Knee Injury)
- B. WhiteVancouver WhitecapsOut(Hamstring Injury)
- J. BadwalVancouver WhitecapsDoubtful(Concussion)
- K. CabreraVancouver WhitecapsDoubtful(Foot Injury)
- K. PokuVancouver WhitecapsOut(Muscle Injury)
- R. VeselinovićVancouver WhitecapsOut(Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for FC Dallas.
- Where and when is Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas played?
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas is played on August 23, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at BC Place, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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